To predict the results of the 2014 Winter Olympics, the Sochi zoo taught local otters for six months to develop the abilities of oracles. However, sports analysts seriously predict competition in a less dubious fashion. In this difficult matter, perhaps, we will not trust animals.
There are several ways to most accurately determine who and with what results will be included in the top five countries that have successfully performed at the Sochi Olympics. First, you can look at the statistics of the last 8 years (last 2 winter games). Based on the data in the tables below, it can be assumed that the composition of the leaders of the Olympics this year will not change significantly.
| Total medals | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A place | Country | Gold | Silver | Bronze | |
| 1 | USA | 9 | 15 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Germany | 10 | 13 | 7 | 30 |
| 3 | Canada | 14 | 7 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Norway | 9 | 8 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Austria | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
| Total number of medals | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A place | Country | Gold | Silver | Bronze | |
| 1 | Germany | 11 | 12 | 6 | 29 |
| 2 | USA | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Austria | 9 | 7 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Russia | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Canada | 7 | 10 | 7 | 24 |
However, given the fact that over 8 years one generation of athletes has already changed to another, difficulties with the forecast may arise precisely in the calculation of medals of a certain dignity for a particular country.
Let's turn to the opinions of experts who have already tried to predict the outcome of the Sochi Olympics. Their arguments are based on the assessment of the achievements of the athletes themselves who will take part in the competition. In addition, their assessment was influenced by the results of the 17 world championships in winter sports that ended this year. They are also called the preliminary forecast of the Olympics. According to the most authoritative agency Infostrada, the likely outcome of the winter competition in Sochi is as follows.
At the same time, without the predictions of bookmakers who are already actively collecting bets, the picture of the Olympic world would not be complete. This is perhaps the only place where the forecasts for the Russian team are the most optimistic. Let's compare at least the odds for the bets on the total number of gold medals:
Norway - odds 2.75
Russia - 4.0
Germany - 4, 5
USA - 6.0
Canada - 9, 0
This is how the coefficients of the total number of medals look:
USA - 2, 45
Russia - 2, 9
Germany - 3, 3
Norway - 6, 5
Canada - 8, 5
The data for each source is very contradictory, and the likelihood that new athletes will perform unexpectedly better than famous leaders should not be discounted. And the fact that Russian athletes will compete at home can also have a significant impact on their results. Nevertheless, even with the available figures, you can safely operate and, based on them, try to predict the results of the Winter Olympics in Sochi 2014 yourself.
